War In Israel: Analysis
For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven… a time for war, and a time for peace.
On Saturday, October 7th, images and videos began rolling in of Hamas’ brutal assault on Israel. While the death toll is still rising, it has already gone down in history as the largest loss of Jewish life in a single day since the Holocaust. But why now? The answer: With the soon coming Saudi-Israeli deal, which excludes a Palestinian state, the geopolitical leveraging of the Palestinian cause by Islamic militants (who never actually cared about the Palestinians), has come to an end. Jihad is now their only option.
Make no mistake, what we're witnessing is a well thought out assault being orchestrated by Iran. Hamas and PIJ are simply the first pawns on the board to be advanced. Further, there's zero chance Iran would not have expected the type of retaliation from Israel that we're about to see in Gaza. And they wouldn't risk losing two of their most valuable assets (Hamas and PIJ) unless they had their "end game" in mind. (Hamas and PIJ, for their part, are more than willing to be sacrificed for the cause.)
Next comes Hezbollah. This shouldn't be surprising, as they've already made an Israeli ground assault on Gaza their red line for entering the war. The strategy seems obvious. Draw Israeli attention to the south to divert forces away from the north. Hezbollah is the most heavily armed of all Iranian proxies, replete with a stockpile of ballistic and anti tank missiles. They also possess anti aircraft and anti ship guns and equipment, and their fighting force is estimated to be over 100,000 soldiers. This would be the most devastating attack on Israel in modern history. I would assume the strategy would be to deplete Israel's Iron Dome defense system with intense rocket fire before launching a missile assault.
At some point, Iran will likely greenlight a ground invasion from the West Bank in an attempt to further scatter Israeli forces and overrun Jerusalem. Over the last several decades, Iran has strategically surrounded Israel with proxy Jihadist groups for this very moment. The further this escalates, the harder it is to believe this isn't their end game. While Iran's proxies are more than willing to be martyred for the cause of jihad, Iran simply would not risk losing what it's taken them decades to build unless they had this end game in mind.
Which brings me to my next, and perhaps heaviest point. Earlier this year, it was reported that Iran had enough fissile material to manufacture five nuclear weapons in two week's time, if they chose to do so. Of course, we all know Iran has been at the nuclear threshold for quite some time. But moving to the final phase of manufacturing a bomb (or bombs) is not something they would risk, as it would trigger an Israeli assault on Iran's nuclear facilities, essentially ending Iran's dreams of annihilating the Jewish state. But at this point, it appears Iran is pushing all of its chips to the middle of the table. Yesterday, it was reported that the United States was moving the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier to the Eastern Mediterranean in a "show of support” for Israel. However, I find this unlikely to be just a show of support. Over the last two years, Israel and the United States have been drilling for an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. Israel has also openly advertised their drills for ground and air assaults deep into Lebanese territory.
I believe what we're about to witness is Israel's attempt to end the Iranian regime and all of their proxies, essentially eliminating terror in the Middle East as we know it. It's become evident in the lead up to the Saudi-Israeli deal that Israel and their Gulf allies intend to transform the Middle East into a new economic hub, or as Netanyahu himself called it, a "utopia." But the elephant in the room, the only thing standing in the way of achieving this goal, is Iran. Now, it would seem the time has come for Israel to wage an all out assault against terror in the Middle East, going straight for the head of the snake, and eliminating all of Iran’s proxies along the way. Earlier today, Israel advised all of its citizens to prepare for a three day stay in bomb shelters across the nation. Please continue to pray for Israel as we watch events unfold. Maranatha 🙏 🇮🇱
Pray for the peace of Jerusalem! “May they be secure who love you! Peace be within your walls and security within your towers!” - Psalm 122:6-7